Impact of the Union Budget 2024 on the Stock Market

As we kick off the new year, all eyes are on the interim budget and understanding how it impacts the stock market is crucial. Let's break down this ever-relevant topic with a special focus on this year's interim budget.

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Key Allocations

Where the government chooses to spend its money plays a crucial role in shaping various outcomes. In this year's interim budget, expect funds to be allocated to essential government operations, ongoing schemes, and time-sensitive requirements. Increased spending generally means more jobs and consumption, which is good news for the market.

Subsidies

Subsidies, particularly in food and fertilizers, are crucial for the rural economy. In this year's budget, around 1/9th of India’s total budget spending (₹45 trillion during FY24) goes to food and fertilizer subsidies. Any changes in this amount can impact fertilizer companies and rural consumption, influencing sectors like FMCG and two-wheelers.

Taxes

Changes in taxes, including both direct taxes like Income Tax and indirect ones like Customs duties, can have an impact on the stock market. While increasing taxes benefits the government, it might slow down consumer spending. Traders closely watch for any tax-related tweaks and changes in market sentiment. Duty changes also matter, affecting the prices of goods and shaping businesses financially.

Setting Goals

The government establishes goals for aspects such as fiscal deficit and GDP growth within the budget. For investors, these targets act as signposts, providing hints about what's coming. Higher GDP targets, for example, show confidence in the economy and business, potentially making the markets optimistic.

Divestment Plan

The government's plans to sell or reduce its stake in certain companies serve as a map for investors. This year's focus may include selling Shipping Corporation of India and Concor and privatizing IDBI Bank. Investors closely monitor these moves, recognizing their potential to shake up the market.

As we navigate through this year's interim budget, the link between government decisions and the stock market becomes more intriguing. For clear and easily comprehensible insights on the Union Budget, keep yourself updated with 5 paisa.

However, it's common for the markets to be quite unpredictable around the Budget period. In the past, on Budget day, we've seen the markets being a bit turbulent, with ups and downs.