HAL Shares Fly High with Brokerage Confidence

Tanushree Jaiswal Tanushree Jaiswal

Last Updated: 21st May 2024 - 05:19 pm

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Amidst a sea of red, Hindustan Aeronautics shares soar as brokerages flock to upgrade its status post its remarkable Q4 results. This resilience persists despite the stock's substantial gains of over 22% in the past week and an impressive surge of over 200% in the past year.

At 09.42 am IST, the stock was trading at ₹4,831 on the NSE, after scaling a fresh record high of ₹4,870.

Hindustan Aeronautics share price have skyrocketed by 22.5% in the last five trading days. This surge is driven by investor enthusiasm, fueled by the company's promising growth prospects, substantial order book, and impressive earnings.

Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) has reported strong financial performance for the March quarter of FY24, exceeding market expectations. Net profit surged by 52% year-on-year to ₹4,309 crore, driven by increased demand for defense equipment. Net sales rose by 18% to ₹14,769 crore, indicating robust growth in the company's operations. HAL's EBITDA margin also expanded significantly to 40% in Q4, up from 26% in the same period last year, reflecting improved efficiency and profitability. These positive results have fueled optimism around HAL's future prospects, as the company continues to play a crucial role in India's defense modernization efforts.

The company's robust quarterly results not only impressed Wall Street analysts but also led many to increase their target prices for the stock, suggesting further potential for growth.

UBS, a global brokerage firm, has increased its target price for Hindustan Aeronautics ahead of the company's Q4 earnings release. The brokerage maintained its 'buy' recommendation for the stock and raised its target price by over 44% to ₹5,200. UBS anticipates an upside of over 10% for the stock from its current levels.  The target price increase reflects UBS's optimistic outlook for Hindustan Aeronautics' future performance. Despite the absence of Q4 numbers, UBS believes that the company has strong fundamentals and growth potential. The brokerage's positive assessment is expected to boost investor confidence in Hindustan Aeronautics.

UBS analysts attributed the price increase to an upgrade in the company's earnings forecast. They justified this upgrade by citing HAL's improved order book, reduced competition, and enhanced export options.

UBS projected a 'Goldilocks scenario' for Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) over the next decade, citing government prioritization of defense manufacturing, timely capacity expansion for outsourcing to the private sector, and increasing trust in domestically designed and produced platforms as key factors driving HAL's growth.

Jefferies, echoing a positive sentiment, raised its price target for HAL stock by a significant 47% to ₹5,725, maintaining its 'buy' recommendation. They cited HAL's strong performance, noting a clear path forward and anticipated growth. The brokerage expects HAL to achieve higher margin service income, fueled by double-digit revenue growth in aircraft deliveries for the next 4-6 years. Jefferies also highlighted the company's commitment to cost optimization, which will support its current margin, and the improving outlook for exports.

Another brokerage to lift its price target for HAL was Nomura. The firm upgraded its price target for the stock by over 7% to ₹5,100 while maintaining a 'buy' call on the stock.

Elara Capital joined the list of analysts optimistic about HAL's prospects. The brokerage foresees opportunities for HAL in indigenization and untapped export potential in the aviation sector. Elara Capital projects a CAGR of 17% in earnings for FY24-26E and a ROE of 24% for HAL. The brokerage not only increased its price target for the stock by 36% to ₹5,590 but also upgraded its rating to a 'buy’.

Despite the recent surge in target price upgrades for HAL, its upward trajectory remains promising, offering investors ample opportunities to capitalize on its continued ascent.

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