Is INDIA, Now 4 Trillion Economy?

Tanushree Jaiswal Tanushree Jaiswal

Last Updated: 20th November 2023 - 09:07 pm

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India achieved a historic milestone on November 19, with reports suggesting that its Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has surpassed the $4 trillion mark for the first time. This momentous occasion has garnered widespread attention and praise from political leaders, business magnates, and economists alike.

I. Unveiling the Milestone:    

1. A viral social media post based on International Monetary Fund (IMF) data indicated India's GDP crossing $4 trillion.
2. Billionaire Gautam Adani, Union Ministers, and Maharashtra Deputy CM Devendra Fadnavis celebrated the achievement on various platforms.

II. Political and Business Responses:    

1. Congratulatory messages flooded social media, emphasizing India's progress under Prime Minister Narendra Modi's leadership.
 2. Statements from prominent figures, including Adani and Union Ministers, reflected optimism about India's economic trajectory.

III. Growth and Economic Indicators:    

1. India recorded a robust GDP growth of 7.8% in the April-June period of 2023-24, outpacing China's 6.3%.
2. Projections by the PHD Chamber of Commerce and Industry foresee India surpassing $4 trillion in the fiscal year 2024-25.

IV. Historical Context:    

1. India's economic journey: From nearly 60 years to reach the $1 trillion mark to achieving $2 trillion in 2014.
2. Current aspirations: Working towards a $5 trillion economy by 2025 and potential growth to $6.7 trillion by 2031 (S&P Global).

V. Challenges and Predictions:   

1. Unconfirmed reports spark discussions about India becoming the fifth-largest global economy.
2. Chief Economic Advisor Anantha Nageswaran envisions India as a $7 trillion economy in the next seven years if the current growth trajectory is maintained.

VI. Initiatives and Roadmap:    

1. Ongoing government initiatives across sectors with a focus on income-centric policies.
2. Emphasis on agriculture and a roadmap to achieve a $7 trillion economy by 2030.

VII. Financial Projections and Estimates:   

1. RBI estimates predict a 6.5% growth for the current financial year.
2. IMF projects a 6.3% growth annually until 2028.

India's journey to a $4 trillion economy marks a significant moment in its global economic presence. The combination of dynamic leadership, strategic initiatives, and a favorable growth trajectory positions India as a key player in the global economic landscape. As the nation continues to pursue its ambitious economic goals, the $5 trillion mark and beyond seem within reach, symbolizing India's continued rise on the world stage.

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